Alex Rodriguez 2010 Projection
Alex Rodriguez is going to go down as one of the best players in baseball history. Last season it was nice to see him get the proverbial monkey off his back in the playoffs. He had struggled mightily his entire career when playing in the postseason – until last year. He went on an absolute tear, including several clutch and game saving hits. He looked like a completely different hitter. He had a brand new confidence about him. Everything was clicking on all cylinders. The question now for Yankee fans is about that translating to the regular season.
Plate Appearances: 719
At Bats: 648
Hits: 201
Walks + HBP: 71
Doubles: 34
Triples: 2
Home Runs: 38
Runs Batted In: 115
Runs Scored: 101
Stolen Bases: 14
Batting Average: .310
On Base Percentage: .378
Slugging Percentage: .545
On Base + Slugging: .923
Another ho-hum season for A-Rod. It’s nice when “ho-hum” for a player is hitting .310 with 38 home runs. However, in the case of Rodriguez that really is a somewhat quiet season. Some of his seasons in the past have been so outrageous that a season with these types of numbers is quite ordinary. Either way, as long as it leads to production, I think everyone will be happy.
Next Monday we’ll take a look at first baseman Mark Teixeira.
Any thoughts on A-Rod? Share them below!
Photo courtesy of Zimbio.com
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Is there a reason you project such a low OBP? The fewest BB+HBP he has had since joining the Yankees was 81 in 594 PA in 2008. 71 in 719 PA would be a huge drop. Here are his OBP numbers since 2000, by year (a 10 year sample):
2000 .420
2001 .399
2002 .392
2003 .396
2004 .375*
2005 .421
2006 .392
2007 .422
2008 .392
2009 .402
Note that his “low” OBP in 2004 was do to a low BA, not a drop in his walk rate. If A-Rod hits .310, his OBP will be right there with his career numbers, closer to .390/.400